Monday, December 7, 2009

杜拜債信危機中東市場危機 恐危及股票型基金

杜拜國營企業「杜拜世界」傳出倒債危機,金管會清查國內各個金融機構,初步統計對杜拜世界的直接投資金額大約台幣64億元,其中,國泰金的授信金額最多,達10億元。國內基金投資人是不是會踩到地雷,血本無歸呢?有人說基金是長期持有,並不會太擔心,但金融學者提醒,如果倒債風波延燒到其他相關企業,被影響的投資人可能會增加。

全球矚目的投資焦點杜拜傳出倒債危機,目前國內有好幾檔以中東市場為主的股票型基金,都可能踩到地雷,買基金兩年多的陳小姐認為,手上獲利為負值的基金,接下來可能還會繼續跌。

而這位陳小姐當初一度想買中東市場的基金,後來因為不了解沒下手,躲過一劫。

金管會清查,國內金融機構對杜拜世界集團的授信金額,以國泰金新台幣10.3億元最多,兆豐金和第一金都是8億元,台新金、中信金和永豐金各有4億多元,華南金、彰銀、台企銀跟合庫各有3.23億元投資,新光金、玉山金則各有1.6億元,總計大約新台幣64億元。不過這只是國內金融機構對杜拜世界的直接投資,不包含對杜拜世界的相關企業及其他機構的投資,如果危機再擴大,影響的投資人可能會更多。

學者認為,如果接下來其他阿拉伯柏國家援助杜拜的的能力減緩,或是本身也產生危機,這波杜拜倒債風波,恐怕會延燒成全球性的危機。

Wednesday, October 1, 2008

Analysis: Why the US$700b bet failed

WASHINGTON, Sept 30 - The stunning rejection by the US House of Representatives of the Bush Administration's US$700 billion financial rescue package was the result of a catastrophic miscalculation by leaders of both parties – and the White House – all of whom believed that they had enough votes to pass the Bill.

The Republican and Democratic leaderships, together with President Bush, dramatically underestimated the number of Congressmen and women from both parties who were not going to back a Bill that is deeply unpopular with voters, five weeks before they face re-election.

They had failed to anticipate a massive revolt by conservative Republicans – who loathe the idea of government intervention on such a massive scale – and liberal Democrats, opposed to any kind of relief for the titans of Wall Street. Of the 435 members in the House, 133 Republicans voted against the Bill, as did 95 Democrats.

Republicans immediately lined up to blame Nancy Pelosi, the Democratic Speaker of the House, for the 228 to 205 defeat. They railed against what they claimed was an aggressive, partisan speech from her seconds before the vote, which they said caused wavering conservatives to defect and block the Bill.

In a sign that he suddenly realised that things were going horribly wrong, John Boehner, the Republican leader in the House, became emotional during a speech minutes before the vote. Conceding that the Bill was in "serious doubt", he implored his colleagues to cast aside politics – and consider the possibility of endangering their own political futures – by voting yes.

"We could have got there, was it not for this partisan speech by the Speaker of the House," Boehner said afterwards. He said that it had poisoned his caucus and "caused a number of our members to go south". Yet he vowed to keep working to get a Bill passed.

Pelosi had heralded the bipartisan nature of the Bill, but then went on to talk about the failed policies of the past eight years and a new Democratic-led future next year. Steny Hoyer, the Democratic House majority leader, called the Republican accusations absurd. Mrs Pelosi said: "The Democratic side more than lived up to their side of the bargain."

Despite barely getting a majority of Democrats to back the Bill, she laid its failure squarely on Republicans.

But Paul Ryan, a Republican member of the House, came closest to expressing the dilemmas of the average Congressman. "We're all worried about losing our jobs," he said in an impassioned speech in support of the Bill before the vote. "Most of us say, 'I want this thing to pass, but I want you to vote for it – not me'."

Within seconds of yesterday's vote the Dow had plunged 500 points and a panicked Pelosi announced that she was holding the vote open – so that the 13 "no" voters needed to get the legislation passed could be persuaded to change their minds. But 10 minutes later only two had been found and the vote was closed. Henry Paulson, the exhausted Treasury Secretary who hammered out what he believed was a deal during a marathon negotiation session with party leaders on Saturday, started telephoning them again to try to get a new vote.

Aides to Pelosi said that another vote could take place on Thursday. Much now lies in the hands of James Clyburn and Roy Blunt, the Democrat and Republican whips.

President Bush expressed disappointment over the vote in Congress. "We put forth a plan that was big because we've got a big problem," he said. "Our strategy is to continue to address this economic situation head-on and we'll be working to develop a strategy that will enable us to continue to move forward."

The defeat was all the more stunning because the plan had been backed by leaders of both parties in the House, by Mr Bush, by both Barack Obama and John McCain, and even by some conservative Republicans who had scuppered a deal last Thursday.

The overriding question for leaders on Capitol Hill was what to do next. Congress has been trying to adjourn so that its members can campaign for the Nov 4 elections. Yet with 36 days until election day, there was no clear indication last night of whether Congressmen would be kept in Washington. - The Times

Tuesday, August 12, 2008

FOREX TREND TRADER 12 8 08

So today, i followed the trend
Red line above green = downtrend

The pic is not clear but for every down signal (red arrow) there's about 20 pips to earn.
not greedy helps to earn.

Today, earn back $400.

P.S. a position i took last nite before off 0.20 short, brought in about 150 pips.

Follow the TREND!!

Yellow is short term trader
Blue is low medium term trader
Green is high medium term trader
Red is long term trader
Purple is longest term trader.

Dominant to determine trend is Green and Red.

Have fun investing

Monday, August 11, 2008

FOREX TREND TRADER

My trading using this method and experience learned.
4 hours and $620 gone. good thing it's only a demo account.

What went wrong today?

All the exchanges was in a breakout situation today.
In a breakout situation, the direction of the rainbow line are not in the same direction.
Thus, the volatility is higher.
in a high volatile situation, the cross signal would pop up very often but would not be right.

Even, which the knowledge of the above, I entered into the market. Thus bringing in the losses.

Lesson learned : In a breakout situation, all four signal has to be fullfilled in order to enter the market.

Saturday, June 28, 2008

Buffet on the ART of buying company

Warren Buffett is in Toronto, fielding questions from a crowd of 300 executives. One asks what makes people want to sell their companies to him.


The Berkshire Hathaway Inc. chief executive officer replies that he tells a prospective seller to think of the company as a work of art.


``You can sell it to Berkshire, and we'll put it in the Metropolitan Museum; it'll have a wing all by itself; it'll be there forever,'' he says at the February meeting. ``Or you can sell it to some porn shop operator, and he'll take the painting and he'll make the boobs a little bigger and he'll stick it up in the window, and some other guy will come along in a raincoat, and he'll buy it.''


Buffett, 77, can afford to throw a little mud on his competitors in the private equity industry. Wall Street's acquisition machine has seized up, while Buffett, in the valedictory chapter of a career stretching back more than 60 years, is on a buying spree.


He has $35.6 billion in cash to spend, and he's looking for companies that he can buy at a reasonable price, that have experienced managers he trusts, products with strong market positions or other competitive advantages.


-Bloomberg.com

Tuesday, March 4, 2008

Fixed Deposit

Nowadays, we could find many types of fixed deposit offered by various banks. But all of time uses the same concept no matter the Term and Condition (T&C) they propose.

The theory of FIXED DEPOSIT,

1) You agree to deposit a FIXED amount of money for a FIXED time into the bank.
2) The bank agrees to pay you a FIXED amount of interest per annum.

Simple? Right
Low Risk? Right
Low Return? Right, but wait.....

The different kinds of fixed deposit offered today may give you good return but at a cost of longer deposit terms or higher deposit amount

UOB for instance offers Foreign currency deposit. which gives higher interest rate and also expose the customer to foreign currency appreciation or depreciation.

Confuse?
For example, you deposit S$8000 ( minimum deposit, normal FD S$5000). into a New Zealand currency FD. You get 7.38% P.A. for 12 months tenure (data from UOB website as of 4/3/08)

Your risk to foreign currency would be as below.

If NZD drop 2% against SGD at the end of 12 months, then your total earning would be 9.38% (roughly).

If NZD rise 2% against SGD at the end of 12 months, then your total earning would be 5.38%
(roughly)

But both is much more better than SGD FD rate at 0.7% p.a for amount below 50000

There are others more complicated FD based tools offered by bankers. Be sure to look throught the Term and Condition before you use them.

Happy investing.

By,

Yong Yeong Chow

Feel free to drop me comments on my articles at my email yyc83@hotmail.com
your comments are much appreciated.

Friday, February 1, 2008

Growing Money

It has been 6 months since I last wrote on this blog.If someone with an income of 1000 dollars has been reading this blog and doing as suggested. This person should have 600 dollars to invest. So the next step would be for him or her to learn how to use this 600 dollars wisely.

Thus, this blog would continue to introduce a few types of financial tools normally used to achieve one target "Growing Money" by using Money!!

We would touch into a few things about the financial tools, mainly, the idea behind, the risk taken, ways to obtain, and more.

While most people are talking about investment strategy. I would not talk about it because from my experience, the best strategy is to invest and learn along.

See you in my next post where "fixed deposit" would be bloged.